| Long-term
investors with no liquidity constraints should consider increasing
their exposure to commercial property, according to investment
consultants, Jewson Associates.
Tim Brown, head of strategy at Jewson Associates, said:
"Commercial property prices in the UK have fallen 42%
from their peak in June 2007 as measured by the headline
IPD index. As a consequence, property yields, which were
below government bond yields in 2007, now stand at a significant
premium.
"The fall in values and rise in yields not only reflects
concerns about tenants defaulting and voids rising (as a
result of corporate bankruptcies such as Woolworths) but
also forced sellers in the market trying to raise money
to reduce their debt. The need to reduce debt and strengthen
their balance sheets has also caused a number of quoted
property companies, such as Land Securities and British
Land, to have large rights issues.
"The very weak economic background, particularly on
the 'high street', combined-with forced sellers and rising
defaults, will keep property values under pressure for some
time.
"Nevertheless, the current yield on property suggests
that depression aside, commercial property is becoming a
cheap asset class. We doubt that values will show much,
if any, progress in the near term but for the patient long-term
investor with no liquidity constraints now is the time to
consider increasing exposure to commercial property."
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