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A limited portfolio is high risk
James Brennan, head of Barings charity
team, says: “Academic studies suggest
that asset allocation is the biggest
determinant of a portfolio's return. From a
charity perspective it is important that
charities look at all the available asset
classes rather than following the herd and
being constrained by a benchmark.”
However, says Brennan, some charities
find it difficult to break away from their
habitual investing patterns: “Charities do
not necessarily shy away from [other]
assets but many remain wedded to a
traditional allocation which favours UK
equities and bonds.”
There is a feeling among the decisionmakers
in many UK-based organisations
that staying close to home is the sensible,
risk-averse thing to do.
It’s simpler for UK-based charities to
watch how UK indices perform, their
liabilities are UK-based afterall, plus there
is no risk of currency fluctuations wiping
out returns, which could potentially
happen with overseas investments.
The
belief is to keep funds in cash deposits,
as the money is safe — at least in theory.
Stay too heavily invested in UK equities
and you face a very real risk in having all
your eggs in one basket.
You may be
staying with what you know, but what
happens if what you know unexpectedly
goes down the pan?
“Given the economic
situation in the UK, which is only going to
get worse, charities should be looking at
international equities, we a have a strong
bias towards Asia,” says Stewart Newton
CEO of Veritas Asset Management.
What’s more, if you lean too hard on
cash, even with higher rates of interest, in
today’s environment you could see
your funds eaten away by increasingly
elevated inflation.
A limited portfolio is a risky one.While
a good spread of assets is a proven way
to control volatility.
So what is stopping
charities from branching out and investing
in a greater range of assets, such as
hedge funds, private equity or overseas
investments?
Back to school
For Frontier’s Rickard, a large part of the
problem is a lack of understanding. “It’s
about education,” he says.
“Trustees need
to attend seminars; they need to learn
about the different asset classes. They
need to understand where they are
investing so that they can make decisions.”
In short, trustees need, in a sense, to
go back to school, to make sure they
understand exactly what it is they want to
get from their portfolios and just what the
different assets can bring to the mix.
Turning your back on certain asset
classes because of their reputation or a
misunderstanding of how they work could
be detrimental to an organisation’s
investment strategy.
Hedge funds, for example, make many
investors nervous, when in fact they might
be a useful tool when they form part of a
diversified portfolio.
So if greater diversity is the way to go,
just what should the mix be? What is the
perfect cocktail of asset classes?
Not
surprisingly, there is no such recipe.
Every charity, whatever its size or income
level, will have different needs and
different investment goals, and these will
dictate which assets are most suitable. from investments to continue
operating, while also needing to retain a
high level of liquidity to bridge potential
funding gaps, some have longer
investment time frames than others, and
of course some charities can spread
millions of pounds to benefit from asset
allocation, while others have far smaller
sums to invest.
Financial advisers and
fund managers need to look at individual
organisations to assess their requirements.
“Inevitably, the mix of assets one uses
for charities is driven by their investment
mandate, for example do they need
income, what is their risk profile, their
size and so on,” says Rathbones’ Clifton.
“The nature of a charity portfolio's
diversification will be driven by the
individual mandate. If income is a priority,
some assets - such as fund of hedge
funds - may be less attractive. But
diversification might come more in the
form of the range of individual equities, or
the use of collectives for smaller charities.”
Getting the right mix
In today’s financial storm, there is little
chance of identifying any asset classes
which are sure to offer shelter, so getting
the mix right is essential.
“Safe havens in
the current market are an interesting
issue and market changes dictate that
anything I say now may no longer apply
next week,” says Clifton.
“That said there
is an inevitable flight to quality. Good
diversification and strong blue-chip type
investments, quality government bonds
rather than corporate debt, reduced
allocations to more volatile assets types
or markets, such as the Far East, are
bound to be features. Cash levels are
also higher generally at the moment.”
According to Rickard, it is important to
review your investments regularly to ensure
they are continuing to offer your organisation
what it needs, especially as those
needs change and develop.
“Charities
should review their portfolios once a year,
and their fund managers once every three
years,” he says.
However, making
changes too many substantial changes
too frequently can be counterproductive,
as you may find the price of reshuffling
outweighs any gains you may see in
returns.
“Every time you transfer from A to
B there is a cost involved,” says Rickard.
Regular reviews are necessary, but this
does not mean you need to take any
action every time a review takes place.
“While charities have favourable tax
treatment and therefore may suffer fewer
tax issues if assets are bought and sold
frequently, by their very nature they have
a longer-term outlook, and generally
speaking a lot of frequent trading is
unlikely to be helpful,” says Clifton.
What’s
more, he adds: “Asset allocation in
general terms is a medium-long term
view issue so should also not trigger
frequent changes in assets held.”
Barings approach also reflects this
view, explains Brennan: “Our asset
allocation is driven by ten-year forecasts
that are reviewed annually to build a
strategic portfolio.”
But current climates dictate a change
of tack, he adds: “As markets are volatile,
we move around this strategy on a
tactical basis to capture returns or
preserve capital, as appropriate. Yet we
are well aware that trading for its own
sake is an easy way to destroy value.”
So what about investment opportunities
coming out of the crisis?
Bob Doll, vice
chairman of BlackRock, says: “Our view is
that, when the dust settles, investors will
be attracted to those areas of the
markets that have performed the best in
recent years and that still have decent
long-term growth prospects, such as most
globally focused areas of the market.
“Much like the technology stocks, which
were ignored for years after the collapse
in 2000, we expect housing, consumer
finance and retail-related shares will be
shunned in favor of the more industrial
side of the economy (namely energy,
resources, industrials and technology).
We believe those sectors that are
currently suffering should return to favor
as investors seek growth prospects with
better absolute and relative valuation.”
Achieving a diversified portfolio
encompassing a healthy spread of assets
therefore is a sensible approach.
Financially speaking, these are nervewracking
times, but for charities too firmly
rooted to UK-based investments, it may
be time to leave the comfort zone.
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